Credit: Google, The Dalles Data Center, Oregon.
INSIGHTS
Ideas, evidence and perspectives on complex systems, resilience and investment
Redpill works on challenges where economic, environmental, social and financial systems intersect.
Our thinking starts with the same question as our work: what needs to change to produce a better real-world outcome — and what evidence, decisions and investment will make that possible?
These articles by Robin Daniels explore some of the issues shaping our work and the development of Darwin Vantage.
Resilience, risk and finance
Preparedness Is Productive Infrastructure
Resilience is often treated as a cost. It can also protect economic value, strengthen places and reduce future losses.
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California has built the wildfire evidence base. Now it needs the finance architecture.
California increasingly understands where wildfire risk lies and what can reduce it. The next challenge is connecting that evidence to sustained investment before disaster occurs.
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From wildfire risk to investable resilience: what recent science means for California
A growing evidence base is strengthening the case for wildfire prevention — and creating new opportunities to connect measurable resilience with investment.
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From Wildfire Risk to Investable Resilience: The SB 254 Opportunity
What would it take to move from funding individual interventions to financing resilience as a maintained, investable system?
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One Bond, Many Shocks: Making California Resilient, and Insurable
Wildfire, water, infrastructure and insurance risks are deeply connected. Financing resilience may need to recognise those connections too.
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California doesn’t have a wildfire “spending” problem — it has a capital allocation problem
The question is not simply how much California spends on wildfire resilience, but how capital is directed towards the interventions that can create the greatest long-term value.
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California’s resilience moment: why water, wildfire, insurance and capital now belong in the same story
Wildfire resilience cannot be separated from water, infrastructure, insurance and economic value. Treating them as a connected system opens different possibilities for investment and delivery.
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Nature, water and productive infrastructure
From Risk to Resilience: Turning Nature into Investable Infrastructure
Nature can do economically valuable work — protecting communities, infrastructure, water systems and productive landscapes. The challenge is making that value visible and investable.
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Who’s Going to Pay for Clean Air?
Clean air can create substantial public and economic value. But turning that value into sustained investment requires a clearer understanding of who benefits, who pays and how outcomes can be evidenced.
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Turning the Water–Net Zero Bottleneck Into a Blueprint for Better Planning
Water constraints can block industrial and net-zero development. Addressed early and systematically, they can instead become a catalyst for better infrastructure and investment decisions.
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AI, infrastructure and investment
AI Needs Power. Data Centres Need Water. Investors Need Proof.
The growth of AI is creating new demands on energy, water and infrastructure. Investment decisions increasingly need to understand those systems together rather than separately.
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When nature, net zero and AI meet
Some of the defining investment challenges of the next decade will sit at the intersection of technology, energy, water, nature and economic development.
The opportunity is not simply to manage the trade-offs, but to design better systems from the outset.
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From thinking to application
These ideas are reflected in Redpill's work across resilience, nature, infrastructure and investment.
Darwin Vantage provides the decision and investment intelligence capability we use to bring evidence together, understand interconnected systems, identify where value can be created and determine where capital can genuinely help.
January 2025. Firefighters battle the Eaton Fire in Altadena. David McNew / Getty Images